I have changed this article title but the following statistical information is still in tact, see below:
Recently, there has been talk among some of the well know SharePoint supporters in the community about SharePoint growing old and it damaging your career by choosing to stay working with it. Although I personally do not intend to leave SharePoint in the near future, this blog post does represent something that I had been tracking and noticing over the past 1 – 2 years, I just hadn’t planned on blogging about it so soon. I wanted to present factual information and statistics around the SharePoint product and let each person comment and make a decision for themselves what they think the future holds for SharePoint. Here we go…
I hadn’t gotten my other blog post up yet but I have done a year over year comparison on SharePoint jobs from the major tech websites in the USA only. This search was for jobs with the word “SharePoint” in the job title. Although there are still a lot of SharePoint jobs, there has been a year over year decline:
|Year||Number SharePoint Specific Jobs Posted|
|2013 1/2 (June)||4233|
Searches for the term “SharePoint Jobs” via Google:
Microsoft’s Behavior & Statistics
- SharePoint is still over a 1 billion dollar business for Microsoft.
- Microsoft is pushing the cloud very hard, but the cloud has not replaced the majority of on-premises customers. It is coming yes, but how and when I don’t know. Of course, some people will never move to the cloud as you know for legal reasons and such.
- There is no more SharePoint Conference (nor is there an Exchange or Lync one), there is now a unified conference now called Ignite.
- At the upcoming Ignite conference (the one replacing the SharePoint conference that had 10,000 people attend about a hundred SharePoint specific sessions over a week) there are only a few sessions currently listed about on-premises SharePoint, most are about SharePoint online or moving to Office 365
- Microsoft has put SharePoint in more of a background piece in Office 365 instead of the forefront like it has with Outlook etc.
- Microsoft has promised to release at least 2 more on-premises versions of the product (see the SP24 conference keynote if you wonder where that was mentioned). After that I don’t know what will happen.
All the Others (Community, 3rd Party Products, MVP’s Behavior, etc.)
I have been sort of tracking MVPs and others around the world of SharePoint and noticed that many of them are starting to ‘dabble’ with other technologies (I didn’t say leave, I said dabble). I have not tracked every MVP, but I have been following some of them. The thing I find interesting is that there isn’t just one direction they are moving in, it appears that people are going in different directions. A quick summary of mine is:
|Skill MVP is Dabbling In||Number of MVP’s Dabbling|
|Random mobile stuff||1|
|Random cloud stuff||1|
|Enterprise Social stuff||2|
- SharePoint events are starting to decrease in attendance and number of events held. But I am not sure I would call it a dramatic decline yet. This also might be just because there were too many independent SharePoint events in general.
- There has definitely been a lot less interest in the new SharePoint development models and the amount of published materials, books written & consultants plugging the SharePoint 2013 vs. earlier versions.
- Over the past couple of years there has been some noticeable consolidation with companies that make 3rd party SharePoint products (Axceler, Quest, etc.)
The general interest in SharePoint via Google searches:
The general interest in SharePoint replacements via Google searches:
Paid Licenses & Usage Statistics
I wish I had more info on this, but every source I had looked into says Microsoft isn’t releasing specific numbers of SharePoint licenses sold anymore. I can’t blame them totally though, a lot of companies aren’t doing this these days. The last information was from 2011 I can find. I will try to go through some recent earnings reports and see if any revenue figures are shown for the product, but purchase doesn’t necessarily equal usage and adoption. That also wouldn’t count for SharePoint Foundation usage since it is free.
Evolution & Technology
Everything changes in our world, and it probably always will. The way medicine is practiced, how cars operate, what makes someone famous, politics, the amount of hair falling out of my head, you name it. Technology isn’t any different.
Personally, I don’t even know of a product that exists that is a full and complete replacement for SharePoint (feel free to comment below if you know of something that is). Companies have invested millions of dollars building custom applications running on the SharePoint technology, it won’t go away overnight. They may start to hold back or lighten up on it but I don’t think it will just suddenly “stop”.
Is SharePoint in decline or stalling? If so how quickly will it decline and by how much? Or do you think it will grow in usage? What are your thoughts?